Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.143258 3.459283 3.800932 4.198992 4.651618 5.152118 5.749957
2025-10-19 2.720142 3.149751 3.645589 4.264942 5.024534 5.934446 7.120149
2025-10-26 2.449367 2.941722 3.537678 4.321811 5.340966 6.641493 8.461107
2025-11-02 2.242076 2.770966 3.435724 4.347877 5.591559 7.265653 9.757138
2025-11-09 2.023472 2.556715 3.246893 4.225895 5.613155 7.564163 10.622411
2025-11-16 1.866825 2.405231 3.120469 4.165767 5.699974 7.947214 11.647376
2025-11-23 1.747808 2.291973 3.032193 4.144170 5.830715 8.398265 12.831878
2025-11-30 1.688550 2.254343 3.042860 4.261583 6.174762 9.209520 14.728126
2025-12-07 1.594469 2.159558 2.962616 4.232910 6.284446 9.652531 16.053717
2025-12-14 1.504238 2.063500 2.872227 4.178432 6.343097 10.011282 17.277319
2025-12-21 1.394220 1.931369 2.718586 4.010767 6.195855 9.992617 17.767488
2025-12-28 1.344323 1.885278 2.691582 4.042572 6.387051 10.595428 19.599082
2026-01-04 1.305029 1.854019 2.687052 4.113774 6.659805 11.395324 22.033204
2026-01-11 1.267497 1.823075 2.680668 4.180926 6.932272 12.233116 24.742696
2026-01-18 1.230532 1.790506 2.668925 4.236841 7.188520 13.073365 27.656663
2026-01-25 1.190386 1.750343 2.641704 4.262331 7.388071 13.823247 30.532983
2026-02-01 1.125932 1.667658 2.538845 4.143394 7.291552 13.923168 31.736741
2026-02-08 1.077439 1.608443 2.471888 4.084754 7.309283 14.276606 33.719304
2026-02-15 1.039045 1.563860 2.427139 4.063690 7.401173 14.810731 36.359854
2026-02-22 1.026129 1.560741 2.453319 4.178199 7.788555 16.097524 41.651930
2026-03-01 0.990717 1.518010 2.407615 4.150237 7.866057 16.642724 44.769314
2026-03-08 0.953592 1.470686 2.351220 4.097107 7.882538 17.036933 47.508692
2026-03-15 0.901860 1.396280 2.242854 3.933558 7.636143 16.718365 47.658100